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Will the Energy Industry Keep Outperforming the Stock Market?

Key Points

  • Despite the market selloff this month, the energy sector ETF XLE has shown significant strength, rising over 4% in the same period.
  • The energy sector’s resilience is attributed to increasing oil prices, driven by concerns about tighter global inventories following output cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia.
  • The three top-weighted holdings in the XLE ETF are Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and Schlumberger (SLB), each displaying impressive short-term performance.
  • 5 stocks we like better than Chevron

The market has been swept by a sea of red month-do-date (MTD), with the overall market, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF NYSE: SPY down over 3% MTD. Apart from one sector, most sectors and industries have suffered the same outcome.

While the overall market has experienced significant momentum to the downside, taking out the August lows, the energy sector managed to take out its August highs and maintain its steady uptrend. MTD, the energy sector ETF, Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund NYSE: XLE, is up over 4%.

Over the previous month, capital has steadily flown out of various sectors, such as technology, retail, and consumer discretionary, and into the energy sector. So the question remains: will the XLE continue outperforming into year-end?

Disconnect Between the Energy Sector and Overall Market

The above chart illustrates that the disconnect between the energy sector and the overall market began in August. SPY experienced outflows, while the XLE saw its share price steadily appreciate after breaking above its April high.

The immense relative strength in the energy sector is no surprise, as crude oil prices have been surging higher in recent weeks. This trend of increasing oil prices arose from concerns about tighter global inventories after output cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia.

As a result, the XLE, which aims to mirror the price and yield performance of the Energy Select Sector Index, has soared over 4% this month and 15.35% during the quarter.

Investors looking to gain exposure to the industry can do so by investing in the XLE ETF or in the top-weighted individual names of the ETF.

Three Top Weighted Names in XLE

The ETF has almost 96% exposure to the United States and predominantly comprises oil, gas, and consumable fuels industry exposure. Its three top-weighted holdings will come as no surprise, given their dominance and market capitalization.

Exxon Mobil NYSE: XOM

XOM is the top holding of the ETF with a 21.11% weighting. Exxon has been on a tear lately, up over 11% over the month and almost 15% over the previous three months. Notably, the stock recently made a new high, reaching $120.20 per share and achieving a market capitalization of $481.18 billion. Impressively, given its recent surge higher, the stock is trading with a modest 9.62 P/E ratio and has a 3.03% dividend yield.

Schlumberger NYSE: SLB

The ETF’s third largest holding is SLB, with a 5.38% weighting. SLB’s market cap is significantly smaller than the above two, at $86.41 billion. The stock’s dividend yield is also smaller, currently at 1.64%. However, over the previous three months, shares of SLB are up almost 27%. The stock is nearing a critical level of resistance at $62, with a move above this level potentially indicating that momentum will continue to the upside.

Before you consider Chevron, you’ll want to hear this.

usafinancetrends keeps track of Wall Street’s top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis. usafinancetrends has identified the that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on… and Chevron wasn’t on the list.

View The Five Stocks Here

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